Key points
S&P 500 second-half performance, all years vs midterm years, indexed to July 1 ｜ Midterm years end +4.6% vs +4.0% for all years, with the low typically around Sep 30
Image source: @MikeZaccardi
2026-11-09
S&P 500 Second-Half Seasonality in Midterm Years Tends to Rally After Election Day