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2026-11-08

A 4% S&P 500 Drop Above the 200-DMA Is Just the 7th Ever, With Positive Average Forward Returns

A 4% S&P 500 Drop Above the 200-DMA Is Just the 7th Ever, With Positive Average Forward Returns

Key points

S&P 500 forward returns after a 4% one-day drop above the 200-DMA | Only the 7th occurrence; average +5.6% at 3 months and +12.2% at 12 months

Image source: @RyanDetrick