Chart Library
2026-09-25

10-Year Real Yield Rises to 2.6%, Above Real Potential GDP Growth

10-Year Real Yield Rises to 2.6%, Above Real Potential GDP Growth

Key points

US 10-year real yield, R* and real potential GDP growth, 1961-2033 | Real yield now 2.60%, above ~1.80% potential growth, echoing 2000 and 2007

Image source: @TimmerFidelity