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2026-09-23

Market Now Sees Fed Funds at 4.22% by End-2026, Versus 3.05% Expected at the Start of the Year

Market Now Sees Fed Funds at 4.22% by End-2026, Versus 3.05% Expected at the Start of the Year

Key points

Market-implied fed funds rate, Fed Funds futures (Jan-2026 to Jan-2027) | End-2026 now seen at 4.22% vs 3.05% at the start of the year, a swing from cuts to hikes

Image source: @charliebilello