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2026-09-19

FOMC's 2026 Core PCE Projection Marked Up to 3.4%

FOMC's 2026 Core PCE Projection Marked Up to 3.4%

Key points

Median FOMC core PCE projections by forecast year, %, Q4/Q4 | 2026 raised to 3.4%, with 2027 at 2.5% and 2028 at 2.2%, well above earlier readings

Image source: @robin_j_brooks