【中國燒的煤，比其他國家加起來還多 🔥】
2025 年，中國的煤炭消費量佔全球 55.6%。一個國家燒掉的煤，比其餘所有國家加起來還多。
中國以外的世界，煤炭用量從 1980 年代末到今天幾乎是一條平線。這條平線底下其實換過一輪：歐美的燃煤發電大幅退場，印度和東南亞補了上來，兩邊抵銷，看起來才像沒變。印度去年用掉全球約 14%，但年增只有 0.6%，遠低於它自己十年平均的 3.6%。
真正該看的是那條紅線的最右端。中國的煤炭用量在 2025 年是持平的，不是繼續往上。原因有兩個：鋼鐵業對焦煤的需求轉弱，以及太陽能發電大幅增加。國際能源總署的統計更進一步，中國的燃煤發電量去年下降約 1.5%，印度下降約 3%。全球煤炭消費去年也只增加 0.7%。
所以那條從頭爬到尾的曲線，在最後一年已經轉平。
這不代表轉折已經確定。持平和開始下降是兩件事，而且單一年度的數字受水力發電豐枯和景氣影響很大。但在討論全球排放路徑時，中國這條線的問題已經從「還要漲多久」換成「會停在什麼水準」。
資料來源：Energy Institute 世界能源統計年鑑 2026 與國際能源總署（圖片來自 @OurWorldInData）
China Burns More Coal Than Everyone Else Combined
China accounted for 55.6% of world coal consumption in 2025. One country burns more coal than every other country put together.
Outside China, coal use has been close to a flat line since the late 1980s. That flat line hides a rotation underneath it. Coal fired power has retreated sharply in Europe and the United States while India and Southeast Asia picked it up, and the two roughly cancel out. India used about 14% of the world total last year, but its consumption grew only 0.6%, far below its own ten year average of 3.6%.
The part worth looking at is the right hand edge of the Chinese line. Chinese coal use was flat in 2025 rather than still climbing. Two things did it: weaker demand for coking coal from steelmaking, and a large increase in solar generation. The International Energy Agency goes further, reporting that coal fired power generation fell about 1.5% in China and about 3% in India last year. Global coal consumption grew just 0.7%.
So the curve that climbs across the whole chart has already turned flat in its final year.
That does not make the turn certain. Flat and falling are different things, and single year figures swing with hydro conditions and the economy. But in any argument about global emissions, the question about the Chinese line has moved from how much longer it rises to where it settles.
Source: Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy 2026 and the International Energy Agency (Image: @OurWorldInData)