
【蘇黎世失業的銀行員創下新高 🏦】
十月,蘇黎世州有 1,672 名銀行從業人員登記失業,是有紀錄以來最高,比一年前多了三成一。
拉長看更清楚。2023 年 3 月,瑞銀確定接手瑞士信貸的那個月,全州登記失業的銀行員是 747 人。兩年半之後翻了一倍以上,增幅約 124%。這條線中間幾乎沒有像樣的回落,八月才剛創過 1,627 人的高點,九月小幅下降,十月又往上。
同一個月,蘇黎世州整體的失業率是 2.9%,跟九月持平,全州登記失業人數約 25,724 人,州政府的說法是失業率穩定、企業對景氣的評價轉趨正面。整體勞動市場沒有變差,變差的是其中一個行業。
這是兩家銀行合併之後消失的職缺,不是景氣循環造成的裁員。合併省下來的重複職能是一次性的,省完就不會再長回來,所以這條線不會因為經濟轉好而自己往下走。瑞士銀行業的就業規模正在換到一個比較低的水準,而不是在谷底等待回升。
要補一句,這是蘇黎世一個州的登記人數,不是全瑞士的銀行業就業,也不包含已經轉職或離開這個行業的人。
資料來源:蘇黎世州經濟勞動局統計與該州十月勞動市場新聞稿(圖片來自 @acemaxx)
Unemployed Bankers in Zurich Hit a Record
In October, 1,672 bank employees in the canton of Zurich were registered as unemployed, the highest on record and 31.3% more than a year earlier.
The longer view is clearer. In March 2023, the month UBS agreed to take over Credit Suisse, 747 bank employees in the canton were registered as unemployed. Two and a half years later the figure has more than doubled, a rise of about 124%. The line has barely fallen back along the way. August set a record at 1,627, September dipped slightly, and October moved higher again.
In the same month the canton's overall unemployment rate was 2.9%, unchanged from September, with about 25,724 people registered as unemployed. The cantonal government described the rate as stable and said firms were assessing business conditions more positively. The broad labour market did not get worse. One industry did.
These are jobs that disappeared in a bank merger rather than in a downturn. Duplicated roles removed in an integration are taken out once and do not grow back, so this line will not fall on its own when the economy improves. Swiss banking employment is settling at a lower level rather than waiting at a trough.
One caveat. This counts registered jobseekers in a single canton. It is not Swiss banking employment as a whole, and it excludes people who have already moved to another job or left the industry.
Source: Zurich cantonal office for economy and labour, and the canton's October labour market release (Image: @acemaxx)